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b72652e 1f734ca b72652e 1f734ca b72652e 1f734ca b72652e | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 | from fastapi import FastAPI, HTTPException
from fastapi.middleware.cors import CORSMiddleware
from pydantic import BaseModel
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import os
import time
import xgboost as xgb
from ddgs import DDGS
from textblob import TextBlob
app = FastAPI(
title="FairValue Strategic AI API",
description="Investor-ready Player Valuation Engine"
)
# Fixed: allow_credentials=True is a CORS spec violation when allow_origins=["*"].
# Browsers silently reject credentialed requests to wildcard origins.
app.add_middleware(
CORSMiddleware,
allow_origins=["*"], # Tighten to Vercel domain after first deploy
allow_credentials=False,
allow_methods=["*"],
allow_headers=["*"],
)
@app.get("/")
def health_check():
"""Required by Render to confirm the service is alive."""
return {
"status": "healthy",
"model_loaded": model_global is not None,
"data_loaded": df_global is not None,
}
@app.get("/api/players")
def get_players(q: str = ""):
"""
Returns unique player names from the training database.
Accepts an optional ?q= filter for autocomplete.
The React frontend uses this to power the player search input.
"""
if df_global is None:
return {"players": []}
name_col = next(
(c for c in ["name", "name_x", "Player_Name", "Name"] if c in df_global.columns),
None,
)
if not name_col:
return {"players": []}
all_names = df_global[name_col].astype(str).dropna().unique()
if q:
all_names = [n for n in all_names if q.lower() in n.lower()]
return {"players": sorted(all_names)[:100]}
@app.get("/api/scout")
async def scout_player(player: str, club: str = "", interested_club: str = ""):
"""
Standalone NLP-only intelligence endpoint — used by the Live Intel page.
Does NOT run the ML model, just returns 3-axis DDGS sentiment scores.
Shares the same 1-hour TTL cache as the full /api/evaluate endpoint.
"""
if not player.strip():
raise HTTPException(status_code=422, detail="player query param is required")
nlp = _fetch_nlp_intelligence(player.strip(), club.strip(), interested_club.strip())
return {
"player": player,
"durability": nlp["durability"],
"recency": nlp["recency"],
"agent": nlp["agent"],
"logs": nlp.get("_logs", []),
"from_cache": nlp.get("_from_cache", False),
}
# ── Currency Config ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
EUR_TO_GBP = 0.85 # Approximate — review quarterly
# ── Path resolution: works locally AND inside the Docker container ─────────────
# Using __file__ means paths are always relative to api/main.py, not cwd.
import pathlib
_ROOT = pathlib.Path(__file__).parent.parent.resolve()
DATA_PATH = str(_ROOT / "data" / "processed" / "app_features.csv")
MODEL_PATH = str(_ROOT / "fairvalue_xgboost.json")
# ── Data / Model Globals ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
df_global = None
model_global = None
expected_cols_global = None
@app.on_event("startup")
def startup_event():
global df_global, model_global, expected_cols_global
if os.path.exists(DATA_PATH):
df_global = pd.read_csv(DATA_PATH)
mv_rename_map = {
col: 'market_value_in_eur'
for col in df_global.columns
if 'market' in col.lower() and 'value' in col.lower()
}
if mv_rename_map:
df_global.rename(columns=mv_rename_map, inplace=True)
df_global = df_global.loc[:, ~df_global.columns.duplicated()].copy()
if os.path.exists(MODEL_PATH):
model_global = xgb.XGBRegressor()
model_global.load_model(MODEL_PATH)
expected_cols_global = model_global.feature_names_in_
# ── NLP Intelligence Cache (TTL = 1 hour) ────────────────────────────────────
# Fixed: previously ran 3 live DDGS searches on every API call — caused
# rate-limiting errors and high latency. Now cached per player+club for 1 hour.
_nlp_cache: dict = {}
_NLP_CACHE_TTL = 3600 # seconds
def _fetch_nlp_intelligence(
player_name: str, current_club: str, interested_club: str
) -> dict:
"""
Returns DDGS sentiment scores for durability, recency, and agent axes.
Results are cached per player+club combination for 1 hour to prevent
rate-limiting and reduce API latency.
"""
cache_key = f"{player_name.lower()}|{current_club.lower()}"
cached = _nlp_cache.get(cache_key)
if cached and (time.time() - cached.get('_ts', 0)) < _NLP_CACHE_TTL:
return {**cached, '_from_cache': True}
ddgs = DDGS()
axes = {
'durability': f"{player_name} {current_club} injury status games missed medical",
'recency': f"{player_name} {current_club} recent form impact stats",
'agent': f"{player_name} {current_club} transfer rumors {interested_club} fee",
}
scores = {'durability': 0.0, 'recency': 0.0, 'agent': 0.0}
logs = []
for axis, query in axes.items():
try:
snippets = list(ddgs.text(query.strip(), max_results=3))
sentiments = [
TextBlob(r.get('body', '') + ' ' + r.get('title', '')).sentiment.polarity
for r in snippets
]
avg_pol = sum(sentiments) / len(sentiments) if sentiments else 0.0
scores[axis] = float(avg_pol)
logs.append(f"Scraped {axis}: Polarity {avg_pol:.2f}")
except Exception as e:
logs.append(f"Failed {axis}: {str(e)}")
result = {**scores, '_ts': time.time(), '_logs': logs, '_from_cache': False}
_nlp_cache[cache_key] = result
return result
# ── Request Schema ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
class PlayerEvaluateRequest(BaseModel):
selected_name: str
current_club: str = ""
interested_club: str = ""
contract_years: float = 2.0
age: int = 24
injuries_24m: int = 10
asking_price: float = 45.0
market_value_estimation: float = 20.0
@app.post("/api/evaluate")
async def evaluate_player(req: PlayerEvaluateRequest):
if df_global is None or model_global is None:
raise HTTPException(
status_code=500,
detail="Model or data not loaded on startup. Check server logs."
)
name_col = next(
(c for c in ['name', 'name_x', 'Player_Name', 'Name'] if c in df_global.columns),
None
)
player_data = df_global.median(numeric_only=True).to_frame().T
if name_col and req.selected_name in df_global[name_col].astype(str).tolist():
player_data = df_global[
df_global[name_col].astype(str) == req.selected_name
].iloc[0:1].copy()
player_data['Contract_Years_Left'] = req.contract_years
player_data['Age'] = req.age
if 'Injury_Days_Total_24m' in player_data.columns:
player_data['Injury_Days_Total_24m'] = req.injuries_24m
if 'market_value_in_eur' in player_data.columns:
player_data['market_value_in_eur'] = (
req.market_value_estimation * 1_000_000
) / EUR_TO_GBP
X_infer = player_data.reindex(columns=expected_cols_global, fill_value=0)
raw_preds = model_global.predict(X_infer)
log_pv = float(raw_preds[0])
baseline_pv = max(float(np.expm1(log_pv)), 0.0)
baseline_pv_m = baseline_pv / 1_000_000
conservative_bound_m = baseline_pv_m * 0.85
# ── SHAP: Talent vs Depreciation Decomposition ────────────────────────────
# Fixed: previous logic used max(0, ...) which silently dropped the
# youth/long-contract premium (negative depreciation) case.
# depreciation_penalty_m is now signed: positive = age/contract drag,
# negative = youth premium (long contract, prime age).
dmatrix = xgb.DMatrix(X_infer)
shap_contribs = model_global.get_booster().predict(dmatrix, pred_contribs=True)[0]
feature_shaps = shap_contribs[:-1] # Last element is the SHAP base value
try:
idx_age = expected_cols_global.tolist().index('Age')
idx_contract = expected_cols_global.tolist().index('Contract_Years_Left')
# Combined log-space drag from age and contract length
age_contract_shap = float(feature_shaps[idx_age] + feature_shaps[idx_contract])
# Talent value = what this player would command without age/contract factors
talent_log_pv = log_pv - age_contract_shap
talent_pv_m = float(np.expm1(talent_log_pv)) / 1_000_000
# Positive = depreciation penalty | Negative = youth/contract premium
depreciation_penalty_m = talent_pv_m - baseline_pv_m
except (ValueError, IndexError):
# Age or Contract_Years_Left not in model features — decomposition unavailable
talent_pv_m = baseline_pv_m
depreciation_penalty_m = 0.0
# ── Internal Risk Factors ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
internal_risk_pct = (
(0.20 if req.contract_years < 1.5 else 0.0) +
(0.15 if req.age > 30 else 0.0) +
(0.10 if req.injuries_24m > 60 else 0.0)
)
# ── External NLP Intelligence (1-hour TTL cache) ──────────────────────────
nlp = _fetch_nlp_intelligence(req.selected_name, req.current_club, req.interested_club)
dur = nlp['durability']
rec = nlp['recency']
agnt = nlp['agent']
logs = nlp.get('_logs', [])
# Tier-aware hype ceiling prevents NLP from distorting low-value players
if baseline_pv_m > 40.0:
rec_ceiling_pct = 0.25
tier_name = "Elite Tier (>£40m)"
elif baseline_pv_m >= 10.0:
rec_ceiling_pct = 0.10
tier_name = "Core Tier (£10m–£40m)"
else:
rec_ceiling_pct = 0.05
tier_name = "Base Tier (<£10m)"
dur_adj = min(0.0, dur) * 0.15 # Injury news can only discount
rec_adj = max(0.0, rec) * rec_ceiling_pct # Form can only add premium
agt_adj = min(0.0, agnt) * 0.05 # Agent leverage only discounts
external_multiplier = 1.0 + rec_adj + dur_adj + agt_adj
hard_cap_m = conservative_bound_m * (1.0 - internal_risk_pct) * external_multiplier
# ── SHAP Feature Contribution Table ──────────────────────────────────────
shap_data = sorted(
[
{"feature": f.replace('_', ' ').title(), "impact": float(s)}
for f, s in zip(expected_cols_global, feature_shaps)
],
key=lambda x: abs(x['impact']),
reverse=True,
)[:10]
return {
"ledger": {
"intrinsic_performance_value": talent_pv_m,
"category": tier_name,
"depreciation": depreciation_penalty_m,
"baseline_value": baseline_pv_m,
"external_multiplier": external_multiplier,
"hard_cap": hard_cap_m,
},
"nlp_results": {"durability": dur, "recency": rec, "agent": agnt},
"nlp_cached": nlp.get('_from_cache', False),
"logs": logs,
"shap_data": shap_data,
}
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